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PublishedBioSystems (2025)

The Limits of Falsifiability: Dimensionality, Measurement Thresholds, and the Sub-Landauer Domain in Biological Systems

What's this about?

This paper examines when a biological experiment leaves rival explanations observationally indistinguishable. The public interpretation is protocol-relative: underdetermination under one measurement map is a reason to design a new intervention, not to declare biology outside falsification.

The paper identifies three levels of limitation: (1) physical detection limits set by noise, sampling, backaction, and the detector; (2) observation-map loss, where an assay may discard the distinction on which rival models differ; and (3) framework dependence through auxiliary assumptions. Landauer's bound is not a universal signal-detection threshold, and a one-bit decision need not reconstruct an organism's full state to be sufficient for a targeted hypothesis.

Controlled physical systems often permit isolation, symmetry, and repeatability that biology does not. Both fields also contain difficult inverse and identifiability problems. The difference is methodological and task-specific, not a boundary where mathematics stops working.

The practical response is to state the measurement map, identify observational equivalence classes, and seek interventions on which rival mechanisms predict different outcomes.

Key findings

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    Three sources of underdetermination: physical detection, observation-map loss, and auxiliary assumptions

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    Falsifiability is relative to a claim, model class, and experimental repertoire

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    A binary test can be sufficient for a targeted contrast without reconstructing the full source state

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    Landauer erasure cost is distinct from signal-detection threshold

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    Proposes framework-transparent, intervention-focused test design

Citation

Todd, I. (2025). The Limits of Falsifiability: Dimensionality, Measurement Thresholds, and the Sub-Landauer Domain in Biological Systems. BioSystems.
doi: 10.1016/j.biosystems.2025.105608

Workflow: Claude 4.5 Sonnet (Anthropic) for drafting. Author reviewed all content and takes full responsibility.